83rd Academy Award predictions
Best Picture: “The King’s Speech”
Best Director: David Fincher for “The Social Network”
-Tom Hooper won the DGA award for “TKS” and betting against the DGA is a foolish venture, but I am cautiously optimistic the Academy will split the top two awards this year. Watch me be proven wrong.
Best Actor: Colin Firth for “TKS”
Best Actress: Natalie Portman for “Black Swan”
Best Supporting Actor: Geoffrey Rush for “TKS”
-Christian Bale has won many awards for his role in “The Fighter” but I think “TKS” will have enough momentum to award Rush his second Oscar. He is the best thing about “The King’s Speech”, after all.
Best Supporting Actress: Melissa Leo for “The Fighter”
-While Hailee Steinfeld stole every scene in “True Grit”, first-time performances, not to mention child actors, rarely win.
Original Screenplay: “TKS”
Adapted Screenplay: “TSN”
Foreign Film: “In A Better World” from Denmark
-Academy members who cast votes in this category are required to see all five nominees, so supposedly they are choosing the best film and not just the one with the most name recognition. I will say their choices over the past few years have been pretty solid.
Animated Feature: “Toy Story 3”
Documentary: “Inside Job”
Cinematography: Roger Deakins for “True Grit”
-Deakins is a brilliant cameraman who has been nominated nine times but has never won. I find it hard to believe the Academy would give “True Grit” ten nominations but let them walk home empty handed, so I predict this category is where they will win. However, I am fully prepared to see “Inception” win instead. Nominees in this category are listed by title of film, not by the name of the cinematographer.
Art Direction: “TKS
Costume Design: “TKS”
Makeup: “The Wolfman”
Original Score: “TKS”
-It should be Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for “TSN” but Desplat will likely win on the coattails of “TKS”
Song: “We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3”
Visual Effects: “Inception”
Sound Editing: “Inception”
Sound Mixing: “Inception”
Update — I’m amending my choices for Director and Original Song.